2022-03-20

上证指数的日K线图上,“双针探底”走势之后,短期底部可能已经探明

Daily K-line of Shanghai Stock Index has ensured short-term bottom

上证指数在上周走出“双针探底”的组合之后,本周的走势是两阴三阳,走出了“三针探底”之势,短期底部初步探明。指数日K线图显示,上周五(3月14日),是一根缩量上涨的带下影阳线,而且下影不够长,说明多方的买入力道不足。

Last week, the movement of Shanghai Stock Index presented “Double Bottom Needles”, and this week it showed 2 negatives and 3 positives, and the trend of “Triple Bottom Needles”, so the short-term bottom was preliminarily verified. On Friday(14 March), the chart of daily K line demonstrated a red line with lower shadow of shrinkage volume, and the lower line was not long, implying insufficient buying power.

上证指数走出了“三针探底”之势

本周一,是一根带上影的光脚阴线,暗示还有短期低点。周二,主力借助国内疫情再燃、美联储加息和俄乌战争的利空,利用权重股大肆打压指数,造成跳空低开的单边放量下跌之势,走出一根上影很短的光脚大阴线,暗示还有短期低点。周三再次跳空低开,跌至3023.30的最低点后,指数展开反弹一路上行,走出一根带长下影线的中阳线。周四美联储加息25个基点,预计2022年还将加息6次,至2022年底利率为1.9%,2023年底利率为2.8%。市场视其为利空出尽,指数跳空高开,呈震荡走势,收盘是上影线较长的阳十字星。周五低开略微低走,大批低价蓝筹权重股在低位补仓,然后指数一路上行,收盘时是一根略带上下影的小阳线。

This Monday, it was a large black closing buzo with very short upper shadow, hinting another short-term low. On Tuesday, with the aid by bad news of domestic epidemic reburning, the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike, and the Russian Ukrainian war, the main force of market was using the heavyweights to recklessly suppress the index, resulted in a unilateral large-scale downward trend of short jump and low opening, showing a shaven bottom black line with very short upper shadow, implying another short-term low. On Wednsday, it was an opening of jump low again, fell to the lowest of 3023.30, then the index rebounded all the way up, and a medium-sized red line with long lower shadow was formed. The Federal Reserve increased interest rate by 25 basis points on Thursday, and 6 more raises of interest rate are anticipated in 2022, till the end of this year the rate will rise to 1.9%, and 2.8% at the end of 2023. The market regarded this as the last bear news, so the index had a jump high opening, showing a concussion trend, and a red Doji with long upper shadow at the closing. On Friday, it had a low opening and dropped slightly, a lot of low-cost blue chip heavyweights made up their positions at low prices, then went upward all the way, and closed as a small red line with little upper and lower shadows.

上证指数将在大致200点的一个区间内震荡

本周向下的跳空缺口已经回补,之后的向上跳空缺口还有3197.36-3196.92=0.44点未回补,预示指数短期还会下行,给股民留下再次逢低买入的机会。近期的指数,在3260点和3060点之间震荡,构筑平台,将是大概率事件。

In this week, the downward gap has been filled, the following upward gap has 3197.36 - 3196.92 = 0.44 points unfilled yet, indicating the index will go downward in the short run, and spares the dealers opportunities to buy low again. The large probability event will be that the index will vibrate in the coming days between 3260 and 3060 to build a platform.

券商板块的日K线MACD指标在低位形成金叉

本周指数在低位企稳,证券板块功不可没,周三领涨股中银证券带头上涨,很快涨停,老二华林证券紧随着涨停,收盘时49家券商股全部上涨,后两日券商股大部分处于回调之势,小部分补涨。所选标的“证券ETF基金”也做了低买高卖,目前放空,等待再次买入。

In this week, the index stabilized at a low level, thanks to the sector of securities. On Wednsday, “Bank of China Securities” in the rising leaders took the lead in rising and soon to the limit. The second oldest “ChinaLin Securities” followed closely to rise to the limit, and all the 49 securities gained at closing. In the following two days, the majority of securities were in the tread of callback, and the minotity made following growth. The selected subject “Exchange Trade Fund” was also bought low and sold high, and now emptied to wait for another buy.

证券ETF基金日K线MACD指标在低位形成金叉
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